Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 379.700152 431.104129 488.184247 556.492345 636.307117 726.967206 838.237077
2025-11-09 308.432028 377.030869 460.160071 569.248426 710.007055 887.390474 1130.841042
2025-11-16 264.272086 338.515555 433.662708 566.297735 749.216596 996.799168 1364.565916
2025-11-23 231.431259 307.584973 409.619635 558.972749 776.530123 1089.148634 1586.051501
2025-11-30 209.499010 287.395287 395.857601 561.561870 814.972198 1199.336924 1849.602037
2025-12-07 188.331029 265.297738 375.993943 551.392672 831.130574 1275.986927 2071.582786
2025-12-14 172.588448 249.047977 362.316289 547.933343 855.797873 1367.778289 2333.605160
2025-12-21 155.040140 228.213352 339.302783 526.544496 847.552394 1402.184577 2498.004176
2025-12-28 148.801148 223.957416 341.247971 545.359072 908.818983 1565.254425 2934.768604
2026-01-04 143.849709 221.133097 344.962685 567.192801 977.814969 1752.553252 3459.466649
2026-01-11 135.858186 212.613409 338.376464 570.102811 1012.159950 1878.662703 3882.333399
2026-01-18 126.281629 200.645408 324.831560 558.883119 1017.873948 1948.072431 4193.074321
2026-01-25 117.801256 190.062277 313.089921 550.372998 1029.112895 2033.533130 4569.312246
2026-02-01 113.662517 186.610434 313.576594 565.044797 1089.404788 2235.120449 5286.653702
2026-02-08 107.330806 178.774093 305.417985 561.876738 1111.706569 2355.335578 5824.413447
2026-02-15 101.046321 170.531445 295.781475 554.646854 1124.103168 2454.437052 6331.496295
2026-02-22 96.592912 165.261955 291.223992 557.209138 1158.498778 2612.595093 7056.217580
2026-03-01 90.973651 157.435067 281.144016 547.132707 1162.482694 2695.200641 7575.453296
2026-03-08 86.594234 151.624003 274.505827 543.704691 1181.658774 2820.792873 8272.952676
2026-03-15 80.592259 142.346829 260.353747 522.508967 1155.107045 2819.117062 8542.132010
2026-03-22 79.278041 141.983880 263.977402 541.153738 1229.893715 3112.514816 9955.757397
2026-03-29 78.286635 142.166966 268.700113 562.789136 1315.668243 3456.483774 11701.307837
2026-04-05 75.537344 138.675093 265.519007 565.672612 1352.559027 3662.334155 12988.104322